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Pierre-Simon Laplace (1749-1827) |
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Laplace contributed many influential ideas that included works in celestial mechanics and the creation of the metric system. In addition, he investigated ideas in the field of probability. He developed notation similar to Thomas Bayes, concerning the determination of probabilities by using integrals. Published in 1812 and later expanded, he wrote Théorie Analytique des Probabilitiés (Analytic Theory of Probability), which summed up all of the concepts and ideas pertaining to probability at the time. It included information about the theory of games, geometrical probabilities, the least squares theory, and solutions of differential equations. Laplace thought that the concepts of probability could be applied in practical applications, such as insurance, decision theory, and demographics. He used his probability theories to estimate the population of France in 1786. Throughout the later years of his life, he concentrated on his study of science. He died at his country estate in Arcuiel on his 78th birthday after a brief illness.Additional
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